The Department of Disaster Management issued a weather advisory Tuesday, April 14, warning that unstable conditions and additional rainfall are expected across the Virgin Islands, following significant downpours that brought up to 50 millimeters of rain in some areas on Monday.

Cloudy skies with morning showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms are forecast throughout the day, with conditions expected to become partly cloudy later in the afternoon. Temperatures are projected to reach about 26 degrees Celsius (79 degrees Fahrenheit), with southeast winds ranging from 8 to 18 miles per hour.

Marine conditions are expected to be moderate, with waves between 0.9 and 1.5 meters (3 to 5 feet), occasionally reaching 1.8 meters (6 feet), prompting caution for small craft operators.

Forecasters said mostly cloudy conditions will persist into the night, with a slight chance of showers.

Authorities are advising residents to remain alert for minor flooding, particularly in low-lying areas, and to avoid driving through flooded roadways. Small vessels are urged to exercise extreme caution due to elevated sea conditions.

The advisory follows continued rainfall across the Territory, with officials encouraging the public to monitor updates through the Department of Disaster Management’s weather station and official channels.

Heavy rainfall associated with a developing trough system is expected to impact the British Virgin Islands beginning Monday night, bringing an increased risk of flash flooding through Wednesday, forecasters have warned.

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services on Sunday, April 12, 2026, warned of flash flood conditions, noting that the most significant impacts are likely between Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecasters said rainfall totals of between three and five inches are anticipated across the islands, with locally higher amounts of up to seven inches possible within short periods.

Low-lying areas, small creeks and locations with poor drainage are expected to be most vulnerable. The advisory also warned of hazardous travel conditions, noting that roadways could become rapidly inundated during periods of intense rainfall.

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services urged residents to monitor updates and take precautionary measures ahead of the system.

“Monitor future forecasts and updates, clear debris from storm drains and gutters, and review your flash flood safety plan,” the agency said. “Be prepared to move to higher ground if a flash flood warning is issued.”

Officials said conditions will continue to be monitored as the system develops, and residents are encouraged to follow local forecasts for further guidance.

Hurricane Melissa intensified into a Category 4 storm Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025, as it moved slowly toward Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The storm, packing sustained winds of about 140 mph, is expected to bring life-threatening winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall to parts of the northern Caribbean through early next week.

Melissa formed from a tropical wave that moved off the coast of West Africa in mid-October and developed into a tropical storm on Oct. 21. Over the weekend, the system rapidly intensified over the central Caribbean, prompting hurricane warnings for Jamaica and southeastern Cuba, and a hurricane watch for Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

The NHC said the hurricane’s slow movement increases the risk of prolonged rainfall and flooding. Forecast models project rainfall totals of up to 40 inches in some areas, with flash floods and landslides likely in mountainous terrain. “The entire island will be impacted,” Jamaica’s Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management said in a statement Sunday, urging residents in coastal and flood-prone areas to evacuate.

In Haiti, officials reported at least three deaths related to flooding and structural collapses as the storm’s outer bands reached the country’s southern region. The Dominican Republic’s Emergency Operations Center said several homes were damaged and power outages were reported in multiple provinces.

Forecasters expect Melissa to maintain major hurricane strength as it nears Jamaica late Monday or early Tuesday before turning northwest toward southeastern Cuba. Storm surge of up to 13 feet is possible along Jamaica’s southern coast, and large swells are expected to affect nearby islands, including the Cayman Islands and the Bahamas, later in the week.

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has been unusually active, with several systems undergoing rapid intensification fueled by warm sea surface temperatures. Authorities across the Caribbean have urged residents to monitor official advisories and complete preparations before conditions deteriorate.