Forecasters Warn of Above-Average Storm Activity for 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Forecasters at the Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project are cautioning that the region is likely to experience elevated levels of storm activity during the upcoming 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, scheduled to commence on June 1.

Senior Research Scientist Dr. Phil Klotzbach, speaking at the Tropical Weather Conference, conveyed that the Atlantic basin is anticipated to witness 23 named storms throughout the season. Of these, eleven hurricanes are forecasted to form, with five potentially escalating into major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.

Dr. Klotzbach attributed this forecast to higher-than-average sea temperatures, which provide conducive heat energy for storm development. Additionally, a shift towards La Nina conditions later in the year is anticipated, resulting in minimal vertical wind shear to impede the organization and strengthening of storm systems.

Jasen Penn, Director of Disaster Management, emphasized the importance of early preparation in response to this forecast, noting that while conditions may evolve, residents should take proactive measures to brace for seasonal storms.

“The reality is that regardless of the forecast, it remains important for persons to take steps to prepare because just one storm coming to our area can be devastating,” remarked Mr. Penn.

Highlighting the heightened risk, forecasters project a 66% probability of a major hurricane tracking through the Caribbean Sea, compared to the average yearly probability of 47%.

Mr. Penn urged residents to heed precautionary measures, emphasizing the adage, “It is better to prepare and prevent than to repair and repent.”

As the hurricane season approaches, residents are encouraged to stay vigilant by monitoring local weather reports shared through the DDM website and social media channels. Additional preparatory measures include downloading the DDM App, creating or updating emergency plans, inspecting property for vulnerabilities, assembling essential supplies, and reviewing insurance policies.

Residents can access further resources to aid in preparation, including a hurricane tracking map, an emergency kit checklist, and the latest list of emergency shelters, available at www.bviddm.com.